The crypto community and plenty of of its most high-profile gamers have began shifting focus towards the Bitcoin halving, an occasion that happens each 4 years and cuts the market provide of recent Bitcoin (BTC) in half.
At the subsequent halving occasion scheduled for April 2024, the Bitcoin mining reward will scale back from the present 6.25 BTC per block to three.125 BTC per block.
Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao took to Twitter to set the countdown for the subsequent halving in an X (previously Twitter) put up to remind everybody that the subsequent BTC halving occasion is simply 135 days away.
— CZ Binance (@cz_binance) November 19, 2023
Historically, the Bitcoin halving is linked to bullish momentum for the BTC worth as a result of provide and demand dynamics. The halving of recent provide amid rising demand normally pushes the BTC worth to new highs within the months following the halving.
Two months previous to the final halving occasion in May 2020, the Bitcoin worth was buying and selling at lower than $10,000. As the occasion drew nearer, bullish momentum noticed BTC’s worth surpass the earlier cycle’s all-time excessive of round $17,000. After the halving, the BTC worth broke into parabolic momentum and created an all-time excessive of just about $69,000.
Popular dealer and analyst Rekt Capital additionally took to X to elaborate on the completely different phases of a BTC bull cycle. The analyst divided the timeline into pre-halving and post-halving occasions, highlighting that roughly 60 days earlier than the halving, a pre-halving rally tends to happen as traders are inclined to “Buy the Hype” to “Sell the News.”
However, the euphoric worth surge within the pre-halving interval is normally adopted by a retracement across the time of the particular halving. In 2016, the pre-halving retracement was 38%, whereas the 2020 pre-halving retracement was 20%.
The pre-halving pullback is usually adopted by a multi-month reaccumulation part throughout which the BTC worth rises and falls, with little positive aspects throughout a interval of stagnation. Many traders get shaken out on this stage as a result of boredom, impatience, and disappointment with their BTC funding’s lack of efficiency within the halving’s fast aftermath.
The accumulation part is then usually adopted by a parabolic surge, wherein Bitcoin breaks out from the reaccumulation space to hit new highs. During this part, Bitcoin experiences accelerated progress on its method to new all-time highs.