Bitcoin (BTC) shrugged off features on the March 13 Wall Street open as US inflation markers continued to fall.
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Good information is dangerous information? Bitcoin follows shares decrease
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD circling $81,500, down 2.3% on the day.
The February print of the Producer Price Index (PPI) got here in beneath median expectations, copying the Consumer Price Index (CPI) outcomes from the day prior.
“On an unadjusted foundation, the index for last demand superior 3.2 % for the 12 months led to February,” an accompanying press release from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) acknowledged.
“In February, a 0.3-percent enhance in costs for last demand items offset a 0.2-percent decline within the index for last demand providers.”
US PPI 1-month % change. Source: BLS
Already a double tailwind for crypto and danger property, cooling inflation additionally stunted a rebound in US greenback power, as seen by way of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
US Dollar Index (DXY) 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Despite this, each shares and crypto remained unmoved, main buying and selling useful resource The Kobeissi Letter to tie within the ongoing US trade war.
“As we have now seen, the market has had a really MUTED response to inflation knowledge that might’ve beforehand despatched the S&P 500 SHARPLY greater,” it wrote in a part of its latest analysis on X
“Why is that this the case? This knowledge offers President Trump a motive to maintain doing what he’s at the moment doing.”
S&P 500 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Kobeissi defined that dealer war efforts could now intensify given slowing inflation.
“This is precisely why markets aren’t recovering losses following a number of the finest inflation knowledge in months,” it continued, suggesting merchants ought to “buckle up for extra volatility.”
Every week earlier than the Federal Reserve’s subsequent rate of interest determination, market expectations for monetary easing remained equally lackluster, with the prospect of a minimize at simply 1%, per knowledge from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool. Odds for the Fed’s May assembly have been at 28%.
Fed goal charge possibilities. Source: CME Group
“The Fed has already determined: regular course, no cuts this FOMC. Powell made that clear final week,” well-liked crypto dealer Josh Rager told X followers earlier within the week, referencing a current speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
“Rate cuts? More doubtless in May/June, not March.”
BTC price inertia leaves key resistance intact
Bitcoin price motion thus sat between bands of purchase and promote liquidity on alternate order books, with the 200-day easy transferring common (SMA) in place as resistance.
Related: Bitcoin whales hint at $80K ‘market rebound’ as Binance inflows cool
For Keith Alan, co-founder of buying and selling useful resource Material Indicators, this trendline, which usually capabilities as assist throughout Bitcoin bull markets, was the closest essential degree to reclaim.
“Bitcoin faces sturdy resistance on the 200-Day MA for the 4th consecutive day,” he summarized on X.
Referring to Material Indicators’ proprietary buying and selling instruments, Alan concluded that such a reclaim was unlikely on the day, however shock catalysts within the type of bulletins from the US authorities.
BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Keith Alan/X
Meanwhile, knowledge from monitoring useful resource CoinGlass confirmed key upside resistance clustered instantly beneath $85,000.
BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
This article doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Every funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.